I see it coming.
I see Israel bombing the nuclear sites in Iran.
Israel doesn't want war, but what choice do they have? Does Iran want to eliminate Israel? If it were easy for them, they would probably have already done it. What about Saudi Arabia? Iran has already seen to the bombing of a Saudi refinery thanks to their surrogate, the Houthi.
Does any of this concern the Biden administration? It seems not. When they see the Houthis fire missiles into Saudi Arabia, the Biden administration chalks it up to "tribes will be tribes." They seem unaware that the primitive Houthi, who have no infrastructure to produce 21st century military weaponry serves at the behest of Iran. Why the Biden administration favors the gay-hanging Iranians over the Saudis puzzles me, but clearly they do. I don't get it.
But for the Israelis, it is not a matter of figuring out the convoluted thought process of the Biden administration. For the Israelis, it's a matter of survival. Maybe the Iranians won't try to eliminate Israel Immediately but you can be sure they will demand their pound of flesh. Do the Israelis want that hanging over their heads? I think not.
Why can't the Biden Administration figure this out? My guess is that they hate Trump's Abraham Accord. They figure that with Iranian ascendancy, this accord will begin to fall apart. And, maybe, and maybe not, the U.S. will step in to save the situation and save Israel. Does Israel want to be beholden to an administration that can think this way?
There is one other factor that should be considered; namely, what Putin thinks of this ever evolving chess game. No two countries understand each other better than Israel and Russia. It seems that the way that Russia sees this chess table, it has nothing to lose by letting Israel bomb Iran. It would make Israel and the Sunnis, including Saudi Arabia beholden to Russia. And, Israel would have a great deal to offer Russia. Russia and Saudi Arabia have long communicated with regards to oil output. And, finally, as I see it, Russia would love to stick it in America's eye.
I'm rooting for Russia. America won't go to war over this, so no harm would befall American service men. And the Middle East would be free of Iranian tyranny.
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