There are a number of surprises here that should hearten the GOP, and three in particular.
The 18 - 29 year olds ___________________
Hillary got 54% against only 37 % for Trump. 9 % presumably went to 3rd parties
However, against Obama, Romney got roughly the same 37 % as Trump, but Obama got 60 %. That's 6 % better than Hillary.
Blacks ________________________________
Hillary got 88 % against 8 % for Trump. However, Trump did very slightly better than Romney and got 8 % (a rounded off figure). But, in that 2012, Obama got 93 %. . . .5% better than Hillary.
Hispanics --------------------------------------------
Hillary got 65 % against 29 % for Trump. However, in 2012 Romney got 26 % and Obama got 71 %.
Again, Hillary found herself 7 % under what Obama had gotten and -- surprise, surprise -- Trump got 29 %. Stated another way: the spread between the GOP and the Dems was 44 % in 2012, but only
36 % in 2016. The Hispanics, it seems, are like every other American. They want jobs. Now Trump will have to deliver.
Muslims _______________________________
Muslims voted 13 % for Trump and 74 % for Hillary. That 74 % doesn't look bad compared to the 54 % (18 - 29 year olds), or the 88 % (blacks), or the 65 % (Hispanics). Trump was never going to get the black vote, or the Latino vote. And, certainly not the Muslim vote.
But, here's what's unbelievable: 13 % Muslims voted for Trump. That's almost twice as many as voted for Romney. And, while 74 % is an awfully good number, it doesn't match the 88 % the blacks gave her. This number suggests that a growing number of Muslims now see America as their country and they decided that Trump would be better for America's interests.
Republicans will probably never get the black vote. Consider the case of the late Mayor of Washington DC, Marion Barry. The man was known by the community to consort with prostitutes. He was an acknowledged drug user. He had been sent to prison for 6 mos. for violating the public trust. Nevertheless, the community returned him to office again and again. That's loyalty.
Be that as it may, the slightly greater number achieved by Trump makes clear that the GOP must continue to make its case to the African American community. Trump's comment during the election campaign was "what have you got to lose?" Now, he's got to show them what he can bring to their community.
Thursday, November 24, 2016
2016 Elections: Surprises Going Unnoticed
Labels:
2016 election,
black vote,
Hillary,
Latino vote,
Muslim vote,
Obama,
Trump
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